CD Juventud vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ACF
5 - 2
JBU
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
JBU
3 - 0
CFP
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
PLA
4 - 3
JBU
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
JBU
2 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
JBU
4 - 1
CDF
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
AST
1 - 1
PON
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
BÉJ
4 - 0
AST
87%
8%
5%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ACF
4 - 0
AST
83%
10%
7%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
AST
1 - 1
CFP
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
AST
1 - 2
ACF
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |