Julian Marias vs El Pardo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
50.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POL
4 - 0
CDJ
84%
9%
7%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDJ
0 - 1
LSA
30%
20%
50%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EDM
4 - 3
CDJ
53%
20%
27%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CDJ
2 - 10
LPV
15%
16%
69%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
3 - 0
CDJ
72%
14%
14%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Pardo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EPB
4 - 2
CAN
38%
21%
42%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 3
EPB
42%
21%
38%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EPB
3 - 2
SVA
50%
20%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
EPB
1 - 6
DEP
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COR
3 - 1
EPB
36%
21%
44%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |