Independiente de Vallecas vs Nueva Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente de Vallecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LGF
1 - 0
IDV
36%
21%
43%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IDV
0 - 1
GGB
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
IDV
1 - 5
SEC
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 2
IDV
25%
20%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IDV
8 - 3
UHA
43%
21%
37%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NCA
9 - 1
CAB
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SVV
5 - 0
NCA
31%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NCA
5 - 1
FIV
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SVV
2 - 3
NCA
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NCA
4 - 0
VEN
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |