Independiente de Vallecas vs Nueva Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente de Vallecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CMA
1 - 4
IDV
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IDV
0 - 5
ADP
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDS
6 - 1
IDV
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
IDV
0 - 3
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 1
IDV
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
NCA
3 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RDM
3 - 2
NCA
63%
18%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NCA
2 - 3
COH
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TAJ
0 - 2
NCA
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VAB
0 - 1
NCA
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |