Apertura Venezuela Four-team tournament Round 3

Inter De Barinas vs UCV analysis

Inter De Barinas UCV
65 ELO 69
2.6% Tilt -7.3%
39964º General ELO ranking 1336º
204º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.7%
Inter De Barinas
28.2%
Draw
28.1%
UCV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Inter De Barinas
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
UCV
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Inter De Barinas
Their league position
UCV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metropolitanos
14
14
100%
Carabobo
11
11
100%
La Guaira
9
9
100%
UCV
8
8
100%
Portuguesa FC
8
8
100%
Puerto Cabello
6
6
100%
Angostura
6
6
100%
Inter De Barinas
2
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Inter De Barinas
UCV
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Inter De Barinas
UCV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter De Barinas
Inter De Barinas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2024
BAR
Inter De Barinas
1 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
38%
27%
35%
65 69 4 0
28 Apr. 2024
MET
Metropolitanos
2 - 0
Inter De Barinas
BAR
51%
26%
23%
66 69 3 -1
21 Apr. 2024
BAR
Inter De Barinas
1 - 0
Monagas
MON
40%
26%
34%
65 68 3 +1
14 Apr. 2024
ANG
Angostura
2 - 1
Inter De Barinas
BAR
44%
28%
28%
65 66 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
BAR
Inter De Barinas
1 - 0
Puerto Cabello
APC
32%
28%
40%
64 72 8 +1

Matches

UCV
UCV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2024
UCV
UCV
0 - 0
Metropolitanos
MET
40%
27%
33%
69 70 1 0
27 Apr. 2024
DEP
La Guaira
0 - 2
UCV
UCV
53%
27%
20%
68 70 2 +1
21 Apr. 2024
UCV
UCV
0 - 0
Puerto Cabello
APC
38%
28%
35%
68 72 4 0
15 Apr. 2024
CFC
Caracas
2 - 2
UCV
UCV
55%
26%
19%
67 70 3 +1
05 Apr. 2024
UCV
UCV
2 - 0
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
36%
29%
35%
66 73 7 +1