CD Fortuna vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDF
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 1
VLO
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ADP
2 - 0
CDF
79%
15%
6%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
CDF
47%
25%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDF
0 - 4
PAR
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
CLA
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 3
MOS
44%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RMC
2 - 1
MOS
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RVM
1 - 4
MOS
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |