CD Fortuna vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDF
1 - 1
COL
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDF
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDF
3 - 1
URS
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 0
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDF
1 - 3
FUE
42%
24%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
CLA
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
YEB
2 - 1
ARG
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 1
VLO
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CMP
2 - 2
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |