CD Ferilan vs Aguilas del Lucero analysis


12	ELO	8
-1%	Tilt	-1.5%
15485º	General ELO ranking	12152º
3747º	Country ELO ranking	1479º
ELO win probability

50.8%

CD Ferilan

22.2%

Draw

26.9%

Aguilas del Lucero

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

50.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%

22.2%

Draw

0-0

3.8%

1-1

9.9%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

22.2%

27%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%