El Vencedor vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Vencedor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
JOC
2 - 3
CEV
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CEV
1 - 1
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
CEV
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CEV
0 - 1
ONC
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 1
CEV
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
4 - 2
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
TIG
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
12%
23%
65%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |