El Vencedor vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Vencedor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CEV
1 - 0
MUN
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CEV
1 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
JOC
0 - 3
CEV
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CEV
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
0 - 4
CEV
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
ALI
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
ALI
8%
20%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 4
ALI
7%
19%
74%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 0
ALI
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |