CD El Nacional vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAM
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 0
MAC
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAC
5 - 1
FAM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 2
MAC
26%
29%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |