CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CUE
2 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
UCE
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
4 - 0
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 3
UCE
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |