Copa Peru Primera Ronda Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Credicoop San Román vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
86.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.4%
0-6
3.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Credicoop San Román
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDA
5 - 0
CDS
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CDS
1 - 1
UDA
15%
17%
68%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 0
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
5 - 0
ALF
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |