Covaleda vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
COV
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COV
2 - 2
QUI
34%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
COV
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
COV
2 - 2
SEG
26%
28%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -6 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
LER
0 - 1
COV
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 4
NOR
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
4 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |