Contestano vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 3
CTS
38%
25%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CTS
1 - 1
CDA
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CTS
2 - 1
CAN
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 0
CTS
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CTS
1 - 2
UEG
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 1
SDS
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
REC
1 - 2
DEN
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
DEN
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 3
DEN
14%
22%
64%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |