Chivas USA vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 2
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
NER
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 3
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
COR
3 - 3
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
GAL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
3 - 0
KCW
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
KCW
4 - 0
COC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
NER
0 - 0
KCW
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 0
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
KCW
1 - 1
NER
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |