Chivas USA vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
SES
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
COC
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DAL
0 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
DAL
3 - 2
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
DAL
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
DAL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DAL
0 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 3
CFS
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |