Cervera vs Alcarràs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cervera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 0
TER
28%
24%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 5
CDC
58%
21%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 4
SOL
24%
23%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
CDC
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcarràs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
GIS
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAN
2 - 0
ALC
33%
24%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 5
TAR
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ORG
0 - 1
ALC
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |