Centenario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SSM
5 - 2
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 8
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
4 - 1
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
UME
3 - 0
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
UME
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
UME
0 - 2
SSM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
UME
0 - 0
AFC
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 0
UME
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |