Centenario vs Deportivo San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COS
2 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
OES
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
MSM
2 - 1
VIS
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MSM
0 - 1
SMI
18%
20%
63%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 1
MSM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
COS
0 - 0
MSM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MSM
0 - 1
COS
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |