CD Celmig vs Parque Europa analysis


9	ELO	12
0.3%	Tilt	-1.5%
16476º	General ELO ranking	16630º
4380º	Country ELO ranking	4475º
ELO win probability

30.5%

CD Celmig

23.1%

Draw

46.5%

Parque Europa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

30.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%

23.1%

Draw

0-0

4.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.1%

46.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%