Castroverde vs EMF Meruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AFR
3 - 0
CAS
23%
19%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOC
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MDC
1 - 2
CAS
19%
18%
64%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
LIE
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MER
2 - 2
MDC
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 0
MER
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MER
7 - 0
SJU
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
MER
27%
21%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
RIO
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |