Castroverde vs Jesus del Monte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GNZ
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 3
CAS
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
CAS
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOC
31%
21%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 4
JDM
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JDM
2 - 1
AFR
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
JDM
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
JDM
4 - 1
LIE
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SRO
1 - 6
JDM
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |