CD Castillejos vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castillejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
CRU
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
CAM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
5 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
ALO
43%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAM
5 - 2
NER
44%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
ARA
15%
17%
67%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALO
9 - 0
NER
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
THA
23%
20%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |