Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 2-1
CD Castellón vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
CAS
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
UES
1 - 1
CAS
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
UES
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
CAS
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
PLA
37%
25%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 2
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
POR
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |