Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
CD Castellón vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLI
32%
28%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAS
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 4
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
BOR
71%
19%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
PBL
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PBL
2 - 0
BNS
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LLO
3 - 2
PBL
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PBL
2 - 3
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
IBI
1 - 1
PBL
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |