CD Castellón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FUE
1 - 1
CAS
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
LEG
11%
27%
62%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAL
15%
29%
56%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PON
1 - 2
CAS
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
MLL
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUG
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 2
ALM
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
LEG
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
FUE
2 - 0
LUG
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |