Copa Federacion . Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
CD Castellón vs CD Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ONT
0 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
LEV
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAS
36%
29%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 2
CDG
17%
23%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
3 - 2
SEV
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 2
CDG
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
1 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |