Casablanca vs Guayarmina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 3
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
6 - 0
ATA
84%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
GOL
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
CAS
64%
19%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
UCB
41%
21%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guayarmina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GYM
0 - 2
SNI
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
UCB
2 - 1
GYM
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
GYM
6 - 0
TEJ
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SIS
2 - 0
GYM
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ATA
0 - 3
GYM
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |