Carranza B vs CDB Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
EPB
53%
20%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
CAR
11%
14%
75%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAR
25%
19%
56%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
VMS
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
CAR
43%
21%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CDB Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
BBA
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BBA
1 - 3
VMS
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
BBA
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BBA
3 - 1
UDT
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDP
6 - 0
BBA
90%
7%
4%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |