Bugarra vs Atl. Villar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
BUG
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BUG
5 - 1
BEN
85%
9%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 5
BUG
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
BUG
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RRR
1 - 3
BUG
50%
20%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Villar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
AVL
4 - 2
RRR
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GOD
7 - 0
AVL
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AVL
2 - 1
SAB
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRK
2 - 0
AVL
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
AVL
0 - 3
SIL
8%
12%
80%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |