Atlético Sur vs Caserio Perales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
43.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+439%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ASU
29%
20%
51%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ASU
5 - 0
VAL
53%
19%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 4
ASU
31%
20%
50%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 3
SAN
53%
19%
28%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RCN
1 - 2
ASU
40%
20%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caserio Perales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 3
ADC
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
CSP
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 4
CEP
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESC
3 - 2
CSP
51%
19%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 2
FGB
39%
21%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |