Atletico Rafal vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PCE
0 - 2
ATL
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
BNS
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SDF
0 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
PBL
35%
24%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FLN
0 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
CFP
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MNC
2 - 0
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
MLL
14%
21%
66%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
UDR
2 - 1
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
PXD
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |