Atletico Rafal vs Espanya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PET
2 - 2
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAM
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 0
ESP
48%
24%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
CDS
33%
25%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |