Argentinos Juniors vs Torre Fuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 1
ASC
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 1
CNS
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
TFU
0 - 0
CDA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CNS
1 - 1
TFU
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 2
TFU
4%
10%
86%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
TFU
0 - 0
CDA
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 2
TFU
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 1
FAN
18%
19%
64%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |