Arces vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
ARC
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
ATO
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MED
2 - 3
ARC
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
AGU
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UVA
0 - 1
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 0
PED
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CDV
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
CDV
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |