Arces vs Parquesol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
+134%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 0
ARC
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 2
BEL
49%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 3
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 1
ARC
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parquesol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 1
CAB
72%
17%
12%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 5
PAR
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
UDS
35%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CDL
2 - 1
PAR
66%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |