Ansares vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ansares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ANS
3 - 3
LAU
32%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CSV
2 - 4
ANS
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ANS
0 - 5
AMU
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ANS
0 - 2
CDS
43%
22%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 0
ANS
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 4
TOR
39%
21%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SLV
1 - 1
ALE
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 2
IRU
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 0
ALE
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALE
1 - 1
CSV
8%
13%
79%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |