CD Alfaro vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 0
ALF
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 1
ALF
10%
18%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 3
ARN
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
ALF
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 2
CAS
18%
22%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 1
ALF
10%
18%
71%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIA
41%
26%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
CDF
53%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |