Alfarense vs El Rumbo A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ELI
1 - 0
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 4
FOI
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GOD
4 - 1
ALF
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 4
ATL
31%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
ALF
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
El Rumbo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RUM
1 - 0
BEN
25%
25%
51%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 0
RUM
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 4
RIB
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PED
5 - 1
RUM
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RUM
3 - 2
BUG
15%
19%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |