Pref. C. La Mancha Grupo 2 round 18

CD Cazalegas vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis

CD Cazalegas AD Hogar Alcarreño
22 ELO 13
9.2% Tilt 0.8%
7793º General ELO ranking 16191º
256º Country ELO ranking 2930º
ELO win probability
79.5%
CD Cazalegas
12.8%
Draw
7.7%
AD Hogar Alcarreño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
CD Cazalegas
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.7%
Win probability
AD Hogar Alcarreño
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Cazalegas
-20%
+7%
AD Hogar Alcarreño

ELO progression

CD Cazalegas
AD Hogar Alcarreño
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Cazalegas
CD Cazalegas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
ORG
CF Orgaceño
1 - 1
CD Cazalegas
CAZ
11%
17%
71%
22 11 11 0
17 Dec. 2022
CAZ
CD Cazalegas
5 - 3
SP Cabanillas
CAB
77%
14%
9%
21 15 6 +1
11 Dec. 2022
MOR
Mora CF
0 - 2
CD Cazalegas
CAZ
11%
18%
71%
21 12 9 0
08 Dec. 2022
AZU
CD Azuqueca B
2 - 3
CD Cazalegas
CAZ
16%
20%
64%
21 12 9 0
04 Dec. 2022
CAZ
CD Cazalegas
4 - 1
CD Toledo B
TOL
79%
13%
8%
20 13 7 +1

Matches

AD Hogar Alcarreño
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
ALC
Sporting de Alcazar
3 - 1
AD Hogar Alcarreño
HAL
24%
23%
53%
15 11 4 0
17 Dec. 2022
HAL
AD Hogar Alcarreño
2 - 0
CF Orgaceño
ORG
62%
20%
18%
14 12 2 +1
10 Dec. 2022
HAL
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1 - 1
CD Bargas
BAR
72%
16%
12%
14 10 4 0
04 Dec. 2022
CAB
SP Cabanillas
0 - 1
AD Hogar Alcarreño
HAL
44%
24%
33%
14 14 0 0
26 Nov. 2022
HAL
AD Hogar Alcarreño
2 - 0
CD Yuncos
YUN
67%
18%
15%
13 11 2 +1