Cayón vs SD San Martín Arena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
REO
1 - 1
CAY
57%
25%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
CAY
4 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAY
37%
29%
34%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
CAY
1 - 0
BUE
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
LCF
0 - 2
CAY
54%
25%
21%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SD San Martín Arena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
SMA
1 - 2
BAR
39%
27%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
NAV
3 - 1
SMA
66%
21%
13%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
SMA
0 - 1
SAN
32%
29%
39%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 1
SMA
72%
18%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
TEX
1 - 0
SMA
74%
17%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |