Cayón vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CDA
5 - 0
CAY
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAY
0 - 0
RRI
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAY
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAY
1 - 1
ARE
21%
27%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 1
CAY
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
NAX
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CDA
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RRI
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARE
6 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |