Rizespor vs İstanbul Başakşehir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
15º
8º
55
4º
20º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
96 | 100 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
90 | 96 |
2º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 64 |
3º
|
91% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 58 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 53 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 53 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 52 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 50 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 48 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 46 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 43 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 41 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 38 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
34 | 37 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
|
19º
|
33 | 37 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
|
20º
|
16 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 0
RIZ
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIZ
1 - 0
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
GFK
2 - 0
RIZ
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RIZ
0 - 1
GAL
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAY
3 - 1
RIZ
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
IST
4 - 1
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BJK
1 - 0
IST
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IST
3 - 3
ANK
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
IST
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
IST
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |