Caxias do Sul vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAX
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
CAX
1 - 3
JEC
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 2
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
CAX
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
AVA
1 - 0
CAX
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
CEA
0 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 1
AMF
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 2
ANA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPO
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SPO
4 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |