Caxias do Sul vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 2
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 0
CAX
19%
24%
58%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 1
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
2 - 2
NOV
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
3 - 0
CAC
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VER
5 - 1
PEL
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 1
PEL
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |