Caxias do Sul vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
21%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 0
CAX
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
AIM
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAX
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAX
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAX
5 - 1
RIO
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |