Caversham vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAV
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MIR
5 - 2
CAV
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 2
EAU
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
TCU
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CAN
4 - 1
CAV
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAU
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
TCU
2 - 2
MAN
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 2
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |