Cavaly vs Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
29.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
FIC
2 - 0
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 1
TEM
41%
31%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
CAV
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
AIG
0 - 0
CAV
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 1
RAC
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
DON
1 - 0
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
DON
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
DON
1 - 0
RAC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 3
DON
46%
30%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
PNH
0 - 1
DON
38%
31%
31%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |