Cavalry vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAV
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
CAV
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
HFX
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 4
CAV
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAN
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATO
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAV
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
ATO
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |